Catastrophe
Insurance Risks: Status of Efforts to Securitize Natural Catastrophe
and Terrorism Risk. GAO-03-1033, September 24, 2003
Why GAO Did This Study
In addition to potentially costing
hundreds or thousands of lives, a
natural or terrorist catastrophe in
the United States could place
enormous financial demands on the
insurance industry, businesses, and
taxpayers. Given these financial
demands, interest has been raised
in bonds that are sold in the capital
markets and thereby diversify
catastrophe funding sources. GAO
was asked to update a 2002 report
on “catastrophe bonds” and assess
(1) their progress in transferring
natural catastrophe risks to the
capital markets, (2) factors that
may affect the issuance of
catastrophe bonds by insurance
companies, (3) factors that may
affect investment in catastrophe
bonds, and (4) the potential for and
challenges associated with
securitizing terrorism-related
financial risks.
GAO does not make any
recommendations in this report.
What
GAO Found
The market for catastrophe bonds, as discussed in our
2002 report, has
transferred a small portion of natural catastrophe risk to the
capital markets.
From 1997 through 2002, a private firm has estimated that a total
of 46
catastrophe bonds were issued or about 8 per year. Another firm
estimated
that the nearly $3 billion in catastrophe bonds outstanding for
2002 (see
figure) represented 2.5 to 3.0 percent of the worldwide catastrophe
reinsurance market. Some insurance and reinsurance companies issue
catastrophe bonds because they allow for risk transfer and may
lower the
costs of insuring against the most severe catastrophes. However,
other
insurers do not issue catastrophe bonds because their costs are
higher than
transferring risks to other insurers. Although some investors see
catastrophe
bonds as an attractive investment because they offer high returns
and
portfolio diversification, others believe that the bonds’ risks
are too high or
too costly to assess. To date, no catastrophe bonds related to
terrorism have
been issued covering potential targets in the United States, and
the general
consensus of most experts GAO contacted is that issuing such securities
would not be practical at this time due in part to the challenges
of predicting
the frequency and severity of terrorist attacks.
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Risks: Status of Efforts to Securitize Natural Catastrophe and Terrorism Risk
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